Tuesday, September 21, 2021

DOLLARS TO NAIRA; A CALL FOR HOLISTIC APPROACH

 DOLLARS TO NAIRA RATE; MANY UNTOLD TRUTHS.


The worst illiterate is the political illiterate. He hears nothing, sees nothing, takes no part in political life. He doesn't seem to know that the cost of living, the price of beans, of flour, of rent, of medicines all depend on political decisions. He even prides himself on his political ignorance, sticks out his chest and says he hates politics. He doesn't know, the imbecile, that from his political non-participation comes the prostitute, the abandoned child, the robber and, worst of all, corrupt officials, the lackeys of exploitative multinational corporations. - Bertolt Brecht


The fact remains one of the numerous campaign promises of President Buhari in 2015 was dollars to Naira exchange rate his personally frown at why the rate should be above #200 then he was even quoted to have said he will make it 1 to 1 during a rally in Owerri though that was later debunked by his media aides, but that doesn't dispel the disdain Mr. President has towards high rates of dollars to Naira, unfortunately, the reverse has been the case as there has been a free fall for the rate and except right approach and proper fiscal policy respite and pressure on the Naira might continue.


The current Government added more pressure and created room for multiple exchange rates when in 2016 they came out with a policy to give dollars at 'subsidized' rates to those going on Pilgrimage, it was unprecedented and you will wonder how or perhaps what pilgrimage contribute to the Nation's economy to have been that 'honoured' whereas manufacturers and other exporters equally got different rates and that decision marks the beginning of a chaotic exchange rates. Saudi Arabia for comparison pumps and average of almost 10m bpd, with less than 35M population, have a GDP of over $700B and per capita of $23K, whereas we pump less than 2M bpd, with a population of over 200M GDP of over $450B while per capita is $2,100


Another of such is petroleum subsidy which translates into almost $300 monthly, Whereas Mr President before his election into office in 2015 affirmatively said he doesn't understand what subsidy means and it's pure scam, his administration has been paying that same 'scam' for 6 years, only the recently passed PIB by the National Assembly which he signed will alter that. 


Also, contrary to several claims of diversification of our economy to generate other non crude oil incomes, the fact according to many multiple reputable reports obtained online, sales of crude oil still account for over 80% of the country revenue.


Our bank cards 'used' to be a valuable tool for transactions on several merchant website and many easily from the comfort of their home use it to pay for good and services without needing to exchange to dollars, the official rate is applied and bank charges incurred, that was initially reduced to maximum $1,000 monthly and thereafter to a paltry $100 maximum, What several Nigerians don't understand is, many have professional bodies, association and organisations that require annual subscription payment, many have to resort to sourcing dollars from BDCs and black market and then obtain a dollar card to be able to maintain their subscription since banks won't give you dollars to pay your subscription and ATM has been restricted these and many of such policies are the reasons behind this multiple rates. The DG of WTO Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala during her first official visit to the Country after her appointment was ratified bitterly complained and kicked against having multiple exchange rates.


Unfortunately, many Nigerians were made to believe our taste for foreign items is putting enormous pressure on our currency, if only they do a background check and obtain official records of such importation which already shows massive decline in the last 5 years they will be suprised our citizens purchasing power is diminishing amidst massive poverty in the land. It might be the perfect time to look into the issue of estacode of Government officials which is in 'hard currency' too


If this Government is serious about the country economic woes and wish to turn it around, it's economic team needs to create new strategies as it seems they have been trying trial and errors and result have keep reflecting in errors and safe the Nation economy because we are at this level due to their decisions, actions and inactions.

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